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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.48+2.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis1.68+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.87+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.19+2.36vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.02+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.86-2.75vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.04-3.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.08-2.09vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.19-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.480.2%1st Place
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2.5Stanford University2.900.3%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Davis1.680.1%1st Place
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4.21University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.1%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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7.66California State University Monterey Bay0.020.0%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Berkeley1.860.1%1st Place
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5.82Santa Clara University1.040.1%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.49California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesca Delle Cese | 23.9% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 32.5% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lee | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Mickail Murawski | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kenton Stutz | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 19.4% |
| Trevor Fournier | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 23.0% | 24.5% |
| Dan Sundberg | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Anthony Crans | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 29.9% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.