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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.45+0.48vs Predicted
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2Williams College-1.12+0.75vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.51+0.19vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-1.49-0.79vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-2.77-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Brown University0.4563.8%1st Place
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2.75Williams College-1.1214.3%1st Place
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3.19McGill University-1.519.3%1st Place
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3.21Unknown School-1.499.8%1st Place
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4.37Middlebury College-2.772.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Brighton | 63.8% | 25.9% | 8.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 14.3% | 30.3% | 28.7% | 19.4% | 7.3% |
| Alex Anderson | 9.3% | 20.8% | 25.4% | 30.0% | 14.3% |
| Whitney Koif | 9.8% | 18.1% | 26.9% | 31.9% | 13.3% |
| Aric Duncan | 2.8% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.