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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.64+5.18vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.83+3.41vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.12+5.55vs Predicted
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4University of Washington3.09+4.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine3.43+1.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.68vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.25+4.19vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+5.93vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-0.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego2.19+1.64vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University2.36-0.25vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon2.51-1.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.87+0.26vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.86-0.35vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles2.63-5.08vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.69-2.01vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.13-4.84vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Barbara2.15-7.04vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles1.34-6.64vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis1.68-9.66vs Predicted
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27University of California at Berkeley1.18-9.98vs Predicted
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28University of Southern California3.16-19.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Stanford University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Hawaii3.830.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Southern California3.120.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Washington3.090.1%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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12.19California Poly Maritime Academy2.250.0%1st Place
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14.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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9.26Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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12.64University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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11.75Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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14.26University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.0%1st Place
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14.65University of California at Berkeley1.860.0%1st Place
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10.92University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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14.99University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.0%1st Place
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16.36University of California at Los Angeles1.340.0%1st Place
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15.34University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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17.02University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Stemler | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Peterson | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Felipe Lopez | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Rex Cameron | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Van Rensselaer | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eric Alamillo | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Philip Gordon | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Mickail Murawski | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Dan Sundberg | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.7% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Morgane Renoir | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Amy Stuyvesant | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 18.6% |
| Ryan Lee | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 25.6% |
| Stephen Lue | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.