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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy0.26+2.02vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.99+0.28vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.49-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.75+0.69vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.13-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02U. S. Military Academy0.260.2%1st Place
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2.28Penn State University0.990.3%1st Place
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2.82Ocean County College0.490.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.750.0%1st Place
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2.19Webb Institute1.130.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Geer | 15.6% | 18.0% | 22.8% | 35.6% | 8.0% |
| Rachel Bennung | 30.7% | 27.8% | 26.1% | 13.3% | 2.1% |
| Autumn Hoover | 18.3% | 21.3% | 25.8% | 29.3% | 5.3% |
| Samuel Kraft | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 83.0% |
| James Codega | 34.0% | 30.0% | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.