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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.51+2.04vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99-0.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.84vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39-0.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.56-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Hawaii0.5118.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Rhode Island0.8825.1%1st Place
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2.23University of Hawaii0.9937.2%1st Place
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4.84University of California at San Diego-0.704.8%1st Place
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4.64Arizona State University-0.396.0%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.6%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Berkeley-0.567.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 18.1% | 21.5% | 23.6% | 19.1% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 25.1% | 24.6% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 37.2% | 27.7% | 18.7% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 24.9% | 16.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 23.2% | 26.0% | 11.3% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 60.7% |
| Victoria Chen | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 21.9% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.