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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+4.66vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.89+2.59vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+7.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+5.98vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.25+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.07+5.20vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74+4.88vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.58+7.10vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.66+0.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.35+0.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.09+2.18vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-3.27vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.54-3.48vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-5.09vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine0.43-4.37vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.69-6.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.10+1.91vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.88-1.07vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.09-1.04vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.16+1.33vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-1.11vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21-3.82vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.21-4.18vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-0.80-7.73vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66University of Southern California1.4012.7%1st Place
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4.59University of Southern California1.8918.1%1st Place
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10.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.9%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.2%1st Place
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6.92University of Southern California1.258.3%1st Place
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11.2University of California at Davis0.073.7%1st Place
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11.88Arizona State University0.743.3%1st Place
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15.1University of California at San Diego-0.582.0%1st Place
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9.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.665.5%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Santa Barbara0.354.0%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Berkeley-0.092.4%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.916.1%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Los Angeles0.544.9%1st Place
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8.91California Poly Maritime Academy0.865.5%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Irvine0.433.9%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.694.8%1st Place
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18.91University of California at Los Angeles-2.100.7%1st Place
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16.93University of California at Irvine-0.880.8%1st Place
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17.96Arizona State University-1.090.9%1st Place
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21.33University of California at Davis-2.160.2%1st Place
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19.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.5%1st Place
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18.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.210.8%1st Place
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18.82Arizona State University-1.210.7%1st Place
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16.27University of California at Irvine-0.801.1%1st Place
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20.76California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 18.1% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack Phibbs | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Colin Olson | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.0% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 31.6% |
| John Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| William Bailly | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Emma Feasey | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Annika Altman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.