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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.51+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.56+0.47vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.24vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Hawaii0.9935.9%1st Place
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3.01University of Hawaii0.5119.6%1st Place
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2.71University of Rhode Island0.8824.0%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Berkeley-0.567.2%1st Place
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4.69Arizona State University-0.395.8%1st Place
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4.76University of California at San Diego-0.705.9%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 35.9% | 28.8% | 19.4% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 19.6% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 24.0% | 24.9% | 23.4% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 23.4% | 21.9% | 9.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 22.2% | 24.2% | 13.6% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 26.7% | 14.8% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.