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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.89+3.60vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.40+3.56vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.25+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+6.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.58+10.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.07+4.85vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+3.03vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+4.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-0.09vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-1.10vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.66-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.54-2.45vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.69-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.35-3.15vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine0.43-4.56vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.09+1.60vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21+1.17vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.09-4.53vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.61+0.88vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.21-0.98vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.80-4.58vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-2.99vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-0.88-6.10vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-3.61vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.16-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Southern California1.8918.8%1st Place
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5.56University of Southern California1.4013.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Southern California1.259.5%1st Place
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10.13University of California at Santa Cruz0.823.8%1st Place
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15.11University of California at San Diego-0.581.7%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Davis0.073.6%1st Place
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10.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.2%1st Place
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12.14Arizona State University0.742.6%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.915.3%1st Place
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8.9California Poly Maritime Academy0.865.8%1st Place
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9.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.664.8%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Los Angeles0.546.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.695.0%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Santa Barbara0.352.9%1st Place
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10.44University of California at Irvine0.433.9%1st Place
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17.6Arizona State University-1.091.1%1st Place
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18.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.210.6%1st Place
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13.47University of California at Berkeley-0.092.0%1st Place
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19.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.5%1st Place
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19.02Arizona State University-1.210.4%1st Place
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16.42University of California at Irvine-0.801.3%1st Place
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19.01University of California at Los Angeles-2.100.4%1st Place
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16.9University of California at Irvine-0.881.1%1st Place
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20.39California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.4%1st Place
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21.68University of California at Davis-2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Winsor | 18.8% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 13.1% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Flanagan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.1% |
| William Bailly | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% |
| Emma Feasey | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Annika Altman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 18.7% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.