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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.69+1.09vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.17+1.09vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.17+0.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-0.28-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.64-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Ocean County College0.690.4%1st Place
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3.09Penn State University-0.170.2%1st Place
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3.03Webb Institute-0.170.2%1st Place
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3.19U. S. Military Academy-0.280.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Donnelly | 42.0% | 26.6% | 17.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Charles Herlihy | 15.3% | 21.5% | 22.3% | 21.1% | 19.8% |
| Troy Zangle | 17.5% | 18.5% | 24.4% | 22.6% | 17.0% |
| Dylan Russell | 14.7% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 22.8% | 22.3% |
| Michael Moubarek | 10.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 24.6% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.