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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.56+6.69vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+6.63vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.92+3.47vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+3.93vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+1.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.38vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.90+2.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-2.60vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.55-4.53vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.49-1.84vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.62-3.26vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.56-4.95vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.55-5.90vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.50vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.72-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.63Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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6.47Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.52Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.97Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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5.4Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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4.47Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.1Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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12.98University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 8.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| William Macdonald | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 11.9% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 10.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Graham Landy | 15.7% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Presti | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.