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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+6.72vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+4.33vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.90+6.96vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+3.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.34vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26+1.83vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.51vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.62-1.38vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.55-2.22vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.49-2.86vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.92-5.35vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.72+0.29vs Predicted
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14Brown University4.30-8.43vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-7.25vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.55-11.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.96Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.83Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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6.65Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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13.29University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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5.57Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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4.63Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| William Macdonald | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 9.3% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 12.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Presti | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 57.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Graham Landy | 17.0% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.