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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.14+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.55vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.60+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.48-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Hawaii1.0539.0%1st Place
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2.66University of Hawaii0.4724.6%1st Place
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara0.1417.0%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Berkeley-0.2213.0%1st Place
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5.38Arizona State University-1.602.4%1st Place
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5.16University of California at San Diego-1.412.9%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Los Angeles-2.481.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 39.0% | 30.3% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 24.6% | 24.6% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 7.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Cristina Jackson | 17.0% | 19.5% | 24.1% | 22.1% | 12.4% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 13.0% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 25.4% | 18.9% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Erin Welker | 2.4% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 20.8% | 35.6% | 22.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 26.2% | 30.6% | 17.8% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 11.2% | 20.8% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.