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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+6.70vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.62+5.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.56+4.72vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University3.26+4.82vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.49+3.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55-1.42vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92-0.50vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.55-0.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.26vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.30-4.59vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-4.49vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-4.17vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.51-4.76vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.90-4.00vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.72-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.82Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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4.58Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.5Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.41Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.0Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Graham Landy | 15.7% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 10.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 10.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.0% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 9.8% |
| Thomas Presti | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.