← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.71+3.00vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California0.38+6.76vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+3.89vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-0.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California0.90+1.11vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis0.95+0.09vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+5.28vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.24vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-0.36+3.87vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.17vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University-0.91+3.85vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.58+0.84vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+1.75vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-1.42+3.10vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University-1.73+3.22vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-1.53+1.24vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19-6.04vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-0.90-3.42vs Predicted
-
19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-1.65vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-4.53vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-1.99vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-4.39vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Irvine-1.36-6.74vs Predicted
-
24California State University Monterey Bay-2.10-4.39vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Davis-2.19-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0University of Southern California1.7118.9%1st Place
-
8.76University of Southern California0.385.1%1st Place
-
6.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.767.0%1st Place
-
3.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.9223.3%1st Place
-
6.11University of Southern California0.9010.8%1st Place
-
6.09University of California at Davis0.958.6%1st Place
-
12.28University of California at Santa Barbara-0.491.9%1st Place
-
7.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.866.0%1st Place
-
12.87University of California at Irvine-0.362.1%1st Place
-
11.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.1%1st Place
-
14.85Arizona State University-0.910.9%1st Place
-
12.84University of California at Berkeley-0.581.9%1st Place
-
14.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.1%1st Place
-
17.1University of California at Irvine-1.420.9%1st Place
-
18.22Arizona State University-1.730.7%1st Place
-
17.24Arizona State University-1.530.2%1st Place
-
10.96University of California at Santa Cruz-0.192.1%1st Place
-
14.58University of California at San Diego-0.900.8%1st Place
-
17.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.5%1st Place
-
15.47University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.7%1st Place
-
19.01University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
-
17.61University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.0%1st Place
-
16.26University of California at Irvine-1.361.1%1st Place
-
19.61California State University Monterey Bay-2.100.6%1st Place
-
19.75University of California at Davis-2.190.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 18.9% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 23.3% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Alexander Ng | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Sophia Meyers | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Liam Williams | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.0% |
| John Gallagher | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Philip Yang | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 19.9% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.