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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+6.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.37vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+1.52vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.55+3.82vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.62+2.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.56+1.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.25vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26+0.79vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92-2.48vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-3.41vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.51-2.98vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.90-2.69vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-5.69vs Predicted
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15Brown University4.30-9.75vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.72-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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4.52Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.79Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.52Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.25Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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13.0University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Graham Landy | 17.5% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 11.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| William Macdonald | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 10.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 12.6% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.