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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.22+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.14+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05-1.86vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.60+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.48-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of California at Berkeley-0.2212.2%1st Place
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2.59University of Hawaii0.4726.0%1st Place
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3.13University of California at Santa Barbara0.1417.2%1st Place
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2.14University of Hawaii1.0537.0%1st Place
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5.33Arizona State University-1.603.1%1st Place
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5.16University of California at San Diego-1.412.5%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Los Angeles-2.481.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 12.2% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 26.1% | 17.5% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 26.0% | 25.7% | 22.5% | 16.4% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Cristina Jackson | 17.2% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 23.2% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 37.0% | 30.9% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Erin Welker | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 20.8% | 34.7% | 22.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 26.1% | 31.9% | 17.0% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 11.4% | 19.2% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.