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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+6.72vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+5.79vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.62+4.55vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+0.62vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.63vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+2.07vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.55+0.79vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92-1.40vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.90+1.01vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University3.26-1.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.56-3.20vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.72+1.32vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.30-7.45vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.95-8.60vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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4.62Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.6Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.94Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.32University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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5.55Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.4Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Graham Landy | 15.8% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Mullins | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 8.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 56.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.