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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+2.98vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.90+3.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.95+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+1.71vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+5.37vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.38+1.74vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.53+9.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+6.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+2.17vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.36+1.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.42+5.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.58-0.45vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-6.05vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.91-0.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19-5.22vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+0.67vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-0.48vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+0.09vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-5.33vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.19-1.25vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.73-3.75vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-0.90-8.55vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.36-7.48vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-2.10-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of Southern California1.7118.2%1st Place
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3.48California Poly Maritime Academy1.9224.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Southern California0.908.1%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Davis0.959.3%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.768.5%1st Place
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11.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.8%1st Place
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8.74University of Southern California0.384.6%1st Place
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17.23Arizona State University-1.530.5%1st Place
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15.22University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.8%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.491.6%1st Place
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12.99University of California at Irvine-0.361.9%1st Place
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17.02University of California at Irvine-1.420.8%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Berkeley-0.582.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.5%1st Place
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14.64Arizona State University-0.911.7%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Santa Cruz-0.192.7%1st Place
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17.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.600.9%1st Place
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17.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.7%1st Place
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19.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.7%1st Place
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14.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.2%1st Place
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19.75University of California at Davis-2.190.3%1st Place
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18.25Arizona State University-1.730.6%1st Place
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14.45University of California at San Diego-0.901.1%1st Place
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16.52University of California at Irvine-1.360.8%1st Place
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19.85California State University Monterey Bay-2.100.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 18.2% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 24.1% | 20.5% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Liam Williams | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Emerson Marquez | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Sophia Meyers | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Gallagher | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 19.6% |
| Alexander Ng | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Philip Yang | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.