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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University3.56+5.66vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.55+4.66vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.56+3.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+0.34vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.62+1.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.46vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.51-2.07vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90-0.86vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-3.16vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-4.72vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.92-7.16vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.72-1.86vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.55-11.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.34Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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10.14Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.84Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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13.14University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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4.58Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 11.4% |
| William Macdonald | 10.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Presti | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 55.9% |
| Graham Landy | 16.5% | 18.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.