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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.14+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.43vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.60+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.48+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.41-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Hawaii1.0538.0%1st Place
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2.56University of Hawaii0.4726.1%1st Place
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3.05University of California at Santa Barbara0.1417.1%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Berkeley-0.2211.5%1st Place
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5.33Arizona State University-1.603.0%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Los Angeles-2.481.1%1st Place
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5.19University of California at San Diego-1.413.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 38.0% | 30.2% | 19.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 26.1% | 26.0% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Cristina Jackson | 17.1% | 20.9% | 22.7% | 23.5% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 11.5% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 26.1% | 19.0% | 8.2% | 1.1% |
| Erin Welker | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 22.7% | 33.7% | 21.7% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 21.1% | 58.5% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 26.7% | 31.6% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.