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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.62+6.54vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.38vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+4.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.56+3.78vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92+1.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.40vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.51+0.95vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.56-0.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.30-3.75vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-3.40vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.90-1.96vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-8.18vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.72-0.81vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.55-7.23vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University3.26-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.68Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.25Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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4.82Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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13.19University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.78Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Roesler | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 11.9% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 10.2% |
| Graham Landy | 14.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Presti | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 13.7% | 57.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.