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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.38+7.80vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+4.03vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.95+0.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.58+6.73vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-3.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.36+5.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19+1.05vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.53+6.54vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.91+2.73vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-1.49vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+2.56vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+2.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+0.61vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.88vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-4.52vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.90-5.89vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.73-2.80vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-1.42-5.10vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-1.36-6.63vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay-2.10-4.09vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.19-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8University of Southern California0.384.8%1st Place
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6.03University of Southern California0.9010.0%1st Place
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3.84University of Southern California1.7121.3%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.766.6%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Davis0.959.6%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Berkeley-0.581.7%1st Place
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3.52California Poly Maritime Academy1.9222.1%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Irvine-0.361.7%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.4%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Santa Cruz-0.192.6%1st Place
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17.54Arizona State University-1.530.7%1st Place
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14.73Arizona State University-0.911.4%1st Place
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11.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.2%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Santa Barbara-0.491.9%1st Place
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17.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.4%1st Place
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18.94University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
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17.61University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.0%1st Place
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15.12University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.0%1st Place
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14.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.5%1st Place
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14.11University of California at San Diego-0.901.1%1st Place
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18.2Arizona State University-1.730.5%1st Place
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16.9University of California at Irvine-1.420.5%1st Place
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16.37University of California at Irvine-1.360.9%1st Place
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19.91California State University Monterey Bay-2.100.4%1st Place
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19.9University of California at Davis-2.190.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Ansart | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 21.3% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 22.1% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Meyers | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Florence Duff | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.4% |
| John Gallagher | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Liam Williams | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Ng | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Philip Yang | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 21.4% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.