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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.14-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.41+0.05vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.60-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.48-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Hawaii1.0537.8%1st Place
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2.65University of Hawaii0.4723.8%1st Place
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3.49University of California at Berkeley-0.2213.2%1st Place
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3.11University of California at Santa Barbara0.1416.9%1st Place
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5.05University of California at San Diego-1.413.9%1st Place
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5.35Arizona State University-1.603.2%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Los Angeles-2.481.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 37.8% | 27.5% | 21.1% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 23.8% | 26.2% | 23.2% | 17.3% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 13.2% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 8.1% | 1.5% |
| Cristina Jackson | 16.9% | 19.8% | 23.4% | 21.2% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 25.4% | 30.6% | 16.0% |
| Erin Welker | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 22.2% | 35.0% | 21.8% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.