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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.56+6.67vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.62+5.42vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+4.90vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+0.64vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.49+3.12vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+0.42vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.56+0.73vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.30-3.64vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.92-3.50vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90-0.91vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-4.45vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.40vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.55-5.90vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.72-1.92vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University3.26-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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4.64Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.42Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.36Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.5Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.09Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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13.08University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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8.81Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Bernie Roesler | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Graham Landy | 15.9% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| William Macdonald | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 10.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 12.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 54.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.