← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
10.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Monterey Bay-2.10+18.81vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Irvine-1.36+14.68vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Davis-2.19+16.97vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine-1.42+13.15vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+10.56vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+11.69vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+10.92vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University-1.73+10.28vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University-1.53+8.33vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+9.31vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.90+3.82vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19-0.97vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.98-5.81vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+0.93vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-0.36-1.73vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-3.30vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-0.91-1.94vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-9.82vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-11.78vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis0.95-13.87vs Predicted
-
21California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-17.25vs Predicted
-
22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-10.39vs Predicted
-
23University of Southern California0.38-13.97vs Predicted
-
24University of Southern California0.90-17.73vs Predicted
-
25University of Southern California1.71-20.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
19.81California State University Monterey Bay-2.100.4%1st Place
-
16.68University of California at Irvine-1.360.5%1st Place
-
19.97University of California at Davis-2.190.4%1st Place
-
17.15University of California at Irvine-1.420.5%1st Place
-
15.56University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.9%1st Place
-
17.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.6%1st Place
-
17.92University of California at Los Angeles-1.600.4%1st Place
-
18.28Arizona State University-1.730.4%1st Place
-
17.33Arizona State University-1.530.7%1st Place
-
19.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.3%1st Place
-
14.82University of California at San Diego-0.901.4%1st Place
-
11.03University of California at Santa Cruz-0.192.9%1st Place
-
7.19University of California at Berkeley0.987.3%1st Place
-
14.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.3%1st Place
-
13.27University of California at Irvine-0.362.1%1st Place
-
12.7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.492.2%1st Place
-
15.06Arizona State University-0.911.3%1st Place
-
8.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.1%1st Place
-
7.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.766.9%1st Place
-
6.13University of California at Davis0.9510.2%1st Place
-
3.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.9221.9%1st Place
-
11.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.1%1st Place
-
9.03University of Southern California0.384.7%1st Place
-
6.27University of Southern California0.907.8%1st Place
-
4.11University of Southern California1.7117.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Yang | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 19.2% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 20.8% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Liam Williams | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| John Gallagher | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
| Alexander Ng | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.9% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Meyers | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 21.9% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 17.8% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.