Race 10A

rudolph-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Graham Landy 15.9% 16.4% 14.4% 11.1% 9.4% 7.7% 6.8% 6.0% 3.8% 3.2% 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
William Macdonald 8.3% 11.5% 9.3% 7.2% 10.3% 7.3% 10.3% 7.5% 6.9% 5.5% 4.5% 4.5% 3.7% 2.7% 0.5%
Bradley Milliken 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% 4.3% 4.4% 5.3% 5.9% 7.2% 6.1% 7.8% 13.7% 18.2% 10.2%
Tommy Fink 13.2% 11.8% 13.2% 10.8% 8.0% 7.7% 9.3% 5.6% 6.4% 5.1% 3.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Brian Drumm 6.7% 5.5% 5.7% 5.1% 6.9% 7.3% 6.1% 7.4% 7.1% 9.7% 8.0% 7.2% 7.6% 7.2% 2.5%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 4.3% 4.1% 4.8% 6.2% 4.0% 5.6% 7.1% 6.8% 7.3% 9.4% 8.7% 9.8% 9.1% 8.0% 4.8%
Peter Edmunds 3.9% 3.8% 3.4% 2.9% 4.7% 4.4% 4.7% 4.7% 5.9% 6.7% 9.1% 10.2% 11.3% 14.4% 9.9%
Eamon Glackin 7.3% 5.8% 8.2% 5.6% 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 8.4% 7.8% 6.7% 7.5% 7.4% 5.9% 5.5% 1.7%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 5.7% 5.7% 5.5% 7.7% 7.1% 8.8% 7.2% 7.8% 8.5% 7.0% 7.6% 8.5% 7.0% 4.6% 1.3%
Ryan Mullins 5.9% 4.5% 5.7% 8.0% 6.6% 8.2% 6.2% 8.3% 7.8% 7.6% 8.4% 7.1% 7.7% 6.7% 1.3%
Jordan Factor 4.6% 6.8% 5.7% 7.0% 8.1% 7.0% 6.6% 7.2% 7.7% 6.6% 6.7% 7.0% 8.0% 7.6% 3.4%
Thomas Presti 1.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 4.0% 5.5% 6.7% 11.3% 59.8%
Peter Pellegrini 8.1% 7.2% 8.1% 9.4% 7.7% 8.0% 7.8% 7.3% 10.0% 6.9% 7.1% 5.0% 4.2% 2.6% 0.6%
Bernie Roesler 5.9% 6.2% 6.3% 8.1% 7.7% 8.2% 7.3% 6.9% 7.1% 8.7% 8.0% 7.3% 6.0% 4.8% 1.5%
Ryan Pesch 6.1% 6.9% 5.8% 6.4% 7.1% 7.2% 7.3% 9.0% 6.0% 7.4% 8.4% 8.1% 7.1% 5.0% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.