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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.71+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis0.95+3.29vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+2.31vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+6.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+1.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.07vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.38+0.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+3.73vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.53+7.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.36+2.25vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+4.76vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.73+4.53vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.90-0.34vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.91-0.95vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19-5.90vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-0.55vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+0.26vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-5.16vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-5.07vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.19-1.98vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-1.42-5.83vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.36-7.30vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-2.10-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68California Poly Maritime Academy1.9222.7%1st Place
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4.26University of Southern California1.7117.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Davis0.959.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Southern California0.907.9%1st Place
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11.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.6%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.766.8%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Berkeley0.986.7%1st Place
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8.97University of Southern California0.385.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Santa Barbara-0.492.1%1st Place
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17.42Arizona State University-1.530.9%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Irvine-0.361.8%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.1%1st Place
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17.76University of California at Los Angeles-1.600.9%1st Place
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18.53Arizona State University-1.730.4%1st Place
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14.66University of California at San Diego-0.901.3%1st Place
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15.05Arizona State University-0.911.0%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.192.9%1st Place
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17.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.5%1st Place
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19.26University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.5%1st Place
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14.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.7%1st Place
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15.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.9%1st Place
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20.02University of California at Davis-2.190.4%1st Place
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17.17University of California at Irvine-1.420.7%1st Place
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16.7University of California at Irvine-1.360.8%1st Place
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19.68California State University Monterey Bay-2.100.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 22.7% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 17.1% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ring | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Alexander Ng | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Meyers | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 14.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Liam Williams | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 22.7% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Philip Yang | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.