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📊 Prediction Accuracy
48.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis0.95+4.20vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+8.64vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+2.36vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.71-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.38+3.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.19+3.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-1.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.36+1.98vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.90+2.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-0.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.60+3.76vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+0.71vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-0.92vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.91-1.68vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.53-0.62vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.42-1.61vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-2.55vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.84-1.92vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-2.94vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.73-4.52vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.36-7.04vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-2.10-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67California Poly Maritime Academy1.9221.4%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Davis0.959.1%1st Place
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11.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.6%1st Place
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6.36University of Southern California0.908.6%1st Place
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4.17University of Southern California1.7117.9%1st Place
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9.02University of Southern California0.384.3%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Berkeley0.987.3%1st Place
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11.3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.192.6%1st Place
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7.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.767.5%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.1%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Irvine-0.361.4%1st Place
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14.75University of California at San Diego-0.901.7%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Santa Barbara-0.491.7%1st Place
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17.76University of California at Los Angeles-1.600.7%1st Place
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15.71University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.5%1st Place
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15.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.2%1st Place
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15.32Arizona State University-0.911.2%1st Place
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17.38Arizona State University-1.531.0%1st Place
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17.39University of California at Irvine-1.420.4%1st Place
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17.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.9%1st Place
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19.08University of California at Davis-1.840.4%1st Place
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19.06University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
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18.48Arizona State University-1.730.4%1st Place
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16.96University of California at Irvine-1.361.1%1st Place
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19.85California State University Monterey Bay-2.100.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 21.4% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 17.9% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Meyers | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ring | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Gallagher | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| Liam Williams | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Nathan Baer | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.7% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.5% |
| Alexander Ng | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Philip Yang | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.