Race 1A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Erik Anderson 28.4% 24.0% 18.6% 12.2% 7.4% 5.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercy Tangredi 11.2% 8.8% 10.0% 10.5% 10.2% 10.4% 11.3% 8.4% 6.3% 5.4% 3.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 6.5% 9.0% 9.3% 9.6% 9.8% 10.7% 9.7% 10.2% 8.0% 7.2% 4.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Everett McAvoy 10.2% 11.8% 11.5% 12.6% 11.2% 11.4% 9.7% 7.1% 5.2% 4.7% 2.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Martha Schuessler 5.9% 5.2% 6.3% 7.3% 8.4% 7.9% 8.5% 9.0% 9.4% 9.6% 8.5% 5.9% 3.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Jack Kisling 4.6% 5.8% 5.8% 7.2% 7.2% 8.9% 9.3% 10.8% 10.0% 8.2% 6.9% 6.5% 4.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Nathan Lemke 3.0% 3.8% 5.2% 6.3% 6.0% 6.5% 5.9% 7.4% 9.4% 9.4% 8.8% 9.8% 8.8% 5.1% 3.8% 0.9%
Marianna Shand 14.0% 13.7% 12.4% 11.7% 11.9% 10.4% 8.2% 7.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sadie Hoberman 2.0% 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 3.4% 3.5% 4.7% 4.8% 5.7% 8.1% 9.0% 9.9% 11.8% 13.4% 11.5% 6.4%
Matt Grimsley 5.6% 6.0% 7.4% 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.6% 7.8% 5.4% 3.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Sean Lipps 1.3% 2.4% 1.9% 2.4% 3.8% 3.4% 4.4% 5.7% 7.0% 6.8% 9.2% 11.7% 10.9% 13.5% 9.8% 5.9%
jessica Hirschbold 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 4.0% 3.6% 5.0% 5.6% 6.9% 7.6% 10.3% 11.1% 11.1% 12.2% 8.1% 5.0%
Marlon Wool 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 2.0% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 5.6% 6.5% 9.4% 11.2% 20.0% 31.1%
Alexander Kaslosas 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 2.6% 3.4% 4.3% 4.8% 5.2% 6.7% 7.1% 8.9% 9.5% 12.4% 10.7% 11.0% 6.2%
Anna Schroeder 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 2.3% 3.0% 3.9% 4.8% 4.9% 6.9% 8.3% 10.8% 11.3% 13.4% 12.8% 9.8%
Abby Evans 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 2.2% 2.0% 3.1% 3.0% 5.1% 5.3% 8.3% 10.7% 19.6% 33.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.