← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.63+4.96vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.35+4.79vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.67vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.18+3.61vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.37+2.03vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.23+0.46vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.84+0.86vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University3.36-2.00vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.15-2.34vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.89-2.20vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.05-3.89vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.53-2.72vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami3.25-6.30vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut1.96-3.30vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.97-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.96University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
6.79Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.61Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
7.03Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.46Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.86Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
7.0Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
7.66Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.8Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
-
8.11Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.28Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
7.7University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
-
11.7University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
-
8.37Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| David Alfonso | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| John Renehan | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| William Hutchings | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Rob Struckett | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| Drew Shea | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
| William Howard | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 35.4% |
| Ian Donahue | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.