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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+3.51vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.57vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.13+3.63vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.51+1.25vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.66+0.24vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.47-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.79+2.39vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.43+0.31vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.50+2.21vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.31-6.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.53+0.29vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-0.62-3.22vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.39-3.90vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Hawaii2.4129.3%1st Place
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5.51University of Hawaii0.999.6%1st Place
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7.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.7%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.7%1st Place
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8.63University of Victoria0.133.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Hawaii0.516.2%1st Place
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7.24Arizona State University0.665.4%1st Place
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6.2Hampton University1.478.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Victoria-0.790.9%1st Place
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10.31Unknown School-0.432.1%1st Place
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13.21Rutgers University-1.500.6%1st Place
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5.14University of Hawaii1.3110.8%1st Place
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13.29University of California at Davis-1.530.6%1st Place
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10.78Unknown School-0.621.7%1st Place
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11.1Arizona State University-0.391.8%1st Place
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10.85University of California at San Diego-0.581.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 29.3% | 24.5% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anna Schroeder | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 9.5% |
| jessica Hirschbold | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 30.7% |
| Everett McAvoy | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Evans | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 33.4% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 7.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.