← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii0.99+4.61vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.41+0.79vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University1.47+3.23vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.31+1.11vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii0.51+2.49vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University0.66+1.25vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.39vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.59vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-1.58vs Predicted
-
10Unknown School-0.62+0.85vs Predicted
-
11University of Victoria0.13-2.33vs Predicted
-
12Unknown School-0.43-1.74vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-0.39-2.05vs Predicted
-
14University of Victoria-0.79-2.37vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.53-1.63vs Predicted
-
16Rutgers University-1.50-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.61University of Hawaii0.998.6%1st Place
-
2.79University of Hawaii2.4132.6%1st Place
-
6.23Hampton University1.477.0%1st Place
-
5.11University of Hawaii1.3110.7%1st Place
-
7.49University of Hawaii0.514.2%1st Place
-
7.25Arizona State University0.664.9%1st Place
-
4.61University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.2%1st Place
-
10.59University of California at San Diego-0.581.8%1st Place
-
7.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.1%1st Place
-
10.85Unknown School-0.621.5%1st Place
-
8.67University of Victoria0.133.5%1st Place
-
10.26Unknown School-0.432.1%1st Place
-
10.95Arizona State University-0.392.2%1st Place
-
11.63University of Victoria-0.791.4%1st Place
-
13.37University of California at Davis-1.530.5%1st Place
-
13.18Rutgers University-1.500.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 32.6% | 22.8% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Nathan Lemke | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| jessica Hirschbold | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.9% |
| Abby Evans | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 19.3% | 34.7% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.