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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.63+4.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.23+5.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+3.87vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+3.38vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.53+3.96vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05+1.17vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36-1.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.20vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.89-1.34vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-2.00vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-4.93vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-5.12vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.15-5.94vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.25-7.69vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.96-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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8.38Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.96Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.17Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.9Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.07Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Zonnenberg | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| William Hutchings | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 15.5% |
| Drew Shea | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| David Alfonso | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| John Renehan | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| William Howard | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.