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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.76vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.31+2.03vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.47+2.11vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+2.37vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.99-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.13+1.62vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.66-0.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.94vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.79+1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.51-3.59vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.62-1.13vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.43-2.59vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.39-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.53-1.67vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.50-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Hawaii2.4132.4%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Hawaii1.3111.8%1st Place
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6.11Hampton University1.477.6%1st Place
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7.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.3%1st Place
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5.53University of Hawaii0.997.8%1st Place
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8.62University of Victoria0.132.7%1st Place
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7.26Arizona State University0.665.3%1st Place
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10.94University of California at San Diego-0.581.6%1st Place
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11.49University of Victoria-0.790.9%1st Place
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7.41University of Hawaii0.515.3%1st Place
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10.87Unknown School-0.621.5%1st Place
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10.41Unknown School-0.431.4%1st Place
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10.76Arizona State University-0.391.8%1st Place
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13.33University of California at Davis-1.530.8%1st Place
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13.27Rutgers University-1.500.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 32.4% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.2% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Anna Schroeder | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 10.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 6.8% |
| jessica Hirschbold | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.2% |
| Abby Evans | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 34.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.