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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.13+6.74vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.66+4.13vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.99+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.20vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.31-1.85vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.47-1.88vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.43+1.41vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.39+0.91vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.51-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.08vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.79-1.65vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-0.62-3.15vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.53-1.70vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.50-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Hawaii2.4131.8%1st Place
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8.74University of Victoria0.132.9%1st Place
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7.13Arizona State University0.665.5%1st Place
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5.54University of Hawaii0.999.9%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.9%1st Place
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7.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.8%1st Place
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5.15University of Hawaii1.3110.9%1st Place
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6.12Hampton University1.478.1%1st Place
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10.41Unknown School-0.431.7%1st Place
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10.91Arizona State University-0.391.5%1st Place
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7.43University of Hawaii0.514.5%1st Place
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10.92University of California at San Diego-0.581.7%1st Place
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11.35University of Victoria-0.791.6%1st Place
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10.85Unknown School-0.621.5%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Davis-1.530.8%1st Place
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13.24Rutgers University-1.500.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 31.8% | 23.4% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| jessica Hirschbold | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Abby Evans | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 31.6% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.