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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+5.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.31+2.14vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+3.70vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.41-2.17vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39+4.90vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.13+1.89vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.66-0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.99-3.55vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.79+1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.51-3.34vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.27-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.20vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.53-0.53vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-0.62-3.99vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.50-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Hampton University1.477.9%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.8%1st Place
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5.14University of Hawaii1.3110.7%1st Place
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7.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.0%1st Place
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2.83University of Hawaii2.4130.6%1st Place
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10.9Arizona State University-0.391.9%1st Place
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8.89University of Victoria0.133.5%1st Place
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7.49Arizona State University0.665.3%1st Place
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5.45University of Hawaii0.999.8%1st Place
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11.72University of Victoria-0.791.6%1st Place
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7.66University of Hawaii0.514.9%1st Place
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8.45University of Maryland0.273.3%1st Place
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10.8University of California at San Diego-0.581.4%1st Place
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13.47University of California at Davis-1.530.5%1st Place
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11.01Unknown School-0.621.4%1st Place
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13.39Rutgers University-1.500.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 30.6% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 6.3% |
| Nathan Lemke | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 11.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Connor Smith | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Abby Evans | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 35.9% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 6.8% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 22.3% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.