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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+7.32vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.84+6.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+3.85vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.76vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.89+3.78vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+1.63vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.25+0.27vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.05+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.63-3.05vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-2.89vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-3.90vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-1.75vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.23-5.22vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.15-7.29vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.96-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.1Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.78Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Donahue | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| William Hutchings | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| David Alfonso | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% |
| John Renehan | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| William Howard | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Drew Shea | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.