← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.41+1.81vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.99+3.55vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University1.47+3.36vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.99vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria0.13+3.91vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University0.66+1.59vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.99vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland0.27+0.45vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-1.31vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii0.59-2.62vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University-0.39+0.46vs Predicted
-
12University of Hawaii0.29-3.45vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis0.07-4.39vs Predicted
-
14University of Victoria-0.79-2.19vs Predicted
-
15Unknown School-0.62-3.75vs Predicted
-
16Rutgers University-1.50-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.81University of Hawaii2.4131.4%1st Place
-
5.55University of Hawaii0.9910.4%1st Place
-
6.36Hampton University1.477.9%1st Place
-
4.99University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.0%1st Place
-
8.91University of Victoria0.133.4%1st Place
-
7.59Arizona State University0.665.5%1st Place
-
10.99University of California at San Diego-0.581.8%1st Place
-
8.45University of Maryland0.274.1%1st Place
-
7.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.1%1st Place
-
7.38University of Hawaii0.596.1%1st Place
-
11.46Arizona State University-0.391.8%1st Place
-
8.55University of Hawaii0.294.1%1st Place
-
8.61University of California at Davis0.074.0%1st Place
-
11.81University of Victoria-0.791.0%1st Place
-
11.25Unknown School-0.621.6%1st Place
-
13.62Rutgers University-1.500.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 31.4% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% |
| Connor Smith | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Gardiner Van Ness | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 11.8% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 15.9% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.