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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.13+8.14vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+0.82vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47+3.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.99+0.55vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.59+0.28vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.66-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.07-0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.79+2.10vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.39+0.33vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.89vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.62-1.67vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland0.27-5.32vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.29-6.63vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.50-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14University of Victoria0.132.9%1st Place
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2.82University of Hawaii2.4130.1%1st Place
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6.25Hampton University1.477.8%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Los Angeles1.3013.4%1st Place
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5.55University of Hawaii0.9910.2%1st Place
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7.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.3%1st Place
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7.28University of Hawaii0.595.6%1st Place
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7.4Arizona State University0.666.6%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Davis0.074.5%1st Place
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12.1University of Victoria-0.791.1%1st Place
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11.33Arizona State University-0.391.7%1st Place
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11.11University of California at San Diego-0.582.5%1st Place
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11.33Unknown School-0.621.6%1st Place
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8.68University of Maryland0.273.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Hawaii0.294.0%1st Place
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13.55Rutgers University-1.500.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lemke | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 30.1% | 22.8% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Gardiner Van Ness | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Matt Grimsley | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 16.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 9.8% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 10.8% |
| Connor Smith | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.