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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.70vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+5.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+3.87vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.25+3.33vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+3.97vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36+0.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.97+0.34vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.15-1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.96+1.71vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.89-2.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-3.88vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.23-5.23vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-6.64vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-9.03vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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8.97Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.96Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.12Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.77Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.9Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| John Renehan | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| William Hutchings | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| William Howard | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Ian Donahue | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 34.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% |
| Drew Shea | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.