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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.31+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.01vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.05vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+6.56vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.27+2.85vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.13+2.29vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.51-0.23vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.47-2.58vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.99-4.15vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.66-3.25vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07-3.32vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.51vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.79-2.06vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.50-1.27vs Predicted
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16Unknown School-0.62-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33University of Hawaii1.3110.9%1st Place
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3.01University of Hawaii2.4129.0%1st Place
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7.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.9%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.3%1st Place
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11.56Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
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8.85University of Maryland0.272.8%1st Place
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9.29University of Victoria0.133.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Hawaii0.514.8%1st Place
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6.42Hampton University1.477.4%1st Place
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5.85University of Hawaii0.999.3%1st Place
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7.75Arizona State University0.665.5%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Davis0.073.8%1st Place
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11.49University of California at San Diego-0.581.3%1st Place
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11.94University of Victoria-0.791.5%1st Place
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13.73Rutgers University-1.500.5%1st Place
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11.42Unknown School-0.621.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett McAvoy | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 29.0% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 11.5% |
| Connor Smith | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Lemke | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.2% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 15.2% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 17.9% | 41.5% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.