Race 9B

rudolph-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Andrew Tamblyn 7.8% 6.4% 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.9% 6.4% 6.8% 6.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.0% 6.2% 4.7% 4.6%
Kyle Carney 8.3% 8.3% 9.4% 8.5% 8.3% 8.2% 7.4% 6.7% 7.5% 6.8% 4.9% 5.1% 5.3% 4.0% 1.3%
Rob Struckett 6.6% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 7.1% 5.6% 7.1% 7.3% 7.4% 7.4% 7.6% 5.8% 6.2% 4.7% 2.8%
William Hutchings 9.3% 9.3% 6.5% 8.8% 8.1% 7.4% 7.1% 8.4% 6.0% 6.0% 5.8% 6.1% 5.0% 3.8% 2.4%
Michael Zonnenberg 10.9% 11.4% 7.9% 8.8% 9.2% 6.9% 9.0% 8.6% 6.7% 4.7% 5.2% 3.7% 3.5% 3.0% 0.5%
Matt Johnson 8.1% 8.3% 7.5% 7.0% 8.0% 8.2% 8.8% 6.7% 8.4% 6.6% 6.6% 5.5% 4.6% 4.0% 1.7%
Conor Lodge 6.1% 4.5% 4.8% 4.7% 5.7% 6.3% 5.9% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 8.0% 8.5% 8.9% 7.9%
John Renehan 7.1% 7.8% 6.9% 6.8% 7.1% 6.6% 7.3% 6.4% 7.4% 6.1% 7.6% 6.5% 7.8% 5.3% 3.3%
Caitlin Watson 3.6% 2.6% 4.8% 3.5% 3.9% 5.0% 5.7% 5.9% 5.6% 6.5% 7.5% 9.2% 9.6% 12.9% 13.7%
Jeff Goodrich 4.5% 4.4% 5.8% 5.7% 5.7% 6.4% 6.3% 5.4% 7.7% 7.4% 6.7% 8.6% 8.0% 9.8% 7.6%
David Alfonso 8.4% 9.9% 8.9% 7.5% 7.8% 7.7% 7.5% 6.5% 7.1% 5.5% 6.5% 5.6% 4.8% 3.7% 2.6%
William Howard 6.4% 5.7% 7.7% 8.3% 7.3% 7.1% 6.8% 7.2% 6.3% 9.1% 5.8% 6.5% 7.1% 5.8% 2.9%
Drew Shea 5.9% 5.6% 5.9% 5.2% 6.2% 7.2% 5.1% 7.2% 6.3% 8.9% 6.4% 8.7% 7.7% 7.5% 6.2%
Ian Donahue 5.5% 5.0% 5.6% 8.0% 5.9% 5.8% 6.9% 7.0% 6.1% 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 7.4% 7.8% 6.2%
Michael Rottier 1.5% 2.7% 3.3% 1.9% 2.5% 3.7% 2.7% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 6.6% 5.5% 8.3% 14.1% 36.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.