Race 10B

rudolph-oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Michael Zonnenberg 11.2% 12.1% 9.8% 10.3% 8.2% 8.0% 6.7% 6.5% 7.0% 4.8% 4.8% 4.1% 2.6% 2.6% 1.3%
William Hutchings 8.9% 9.4% 8.5% 7.9% 9.1% 7.5% 7.9% 6.0% 8.3% 5.2% 6.1% 5.1% 4.9% 3.1% 2.1%
Caitlin Watson 3.5% 3.5% 5.1% 3.8% 3.9% 4.6% 5.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5.6% 7.5% 7.3% 10.4% 14.6% 13.5%
Conor Lodge 4.3% 5.6% 5.1% 5.8% 7.2% 4.8% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.5% 8.3% 6.9% 9.6% 10.1% 7.8%
John Renehan 7.6% 7.0% 6.6% 6.2% 6.6% 7.6% 5.8% 6.9% 7.3% 8.4% 7.0% 7.5% 6.2% 5.6% 3.7%
Matt Johnson 8.3% 7.8% 7.4% 6.9% 8.6% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 8.4% 6.3% 6.0% 5.6% 5.2% 3.6% 1.8%
Jeff Goodrich 6.5% 4.5% 5.0% 4.9% 5.8% 6.2% 5.7% 7.9% 5.8% 8.1% 8.2% 7.9% 7.9% 7.5% 8.1%
Drew Shea 6.2% 5.4% 7.5% 6.5% 5.7% 5.9% 7.2% 6.1% 6.9% 7.6% 6.5% 8.1% 9.2% 5.8% 5.4%
Kyle Carney 7.6% 7.5% 9.6% 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 8.4% 7.0% 7.1% 6.1% 7.4% 5.5% 4.4% 3.2% 1.7%
Rob Struckett 6.8% 6.4% 7.2% 7.9% 6.8% 6.1% 8.8% 8.3% 7.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.7% 6.6% 5.0% 3.4%
William Howard 6.2% 9.7% 7.3% 7.5% 7.8% 7.6% 6.6% 6.9% 5.5% 7.2% 5.2% 6.4% 6.5% 6.6% 3.0%
Andrew Tamblyn 6.2% 5.0% 6.0% 8.3% 6.9% 7.2% 7.2% 6.1% 7.5% 6.8% 7.1% 7.9% 6.8% 7.4% 3.6%
David Alfonso 8.7% 8.3% 6.7% 7.7% 7.4% 7.7% 6.5% 8.6% 7.6% 8.4% 6.7% 6.5% 3.2% 4.1% 1.9%
Michael Rottier 1.9% 1.7% 2.1% 3.1% 2.2% 2.6% 4.0% 3.9% 4.0% 5.0% 5.0% 7.0% 7.3% 13.4% 36.8%
Ian Donahue 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.9% 5.7% 8.0% 5.4% 6.4% 6.1% 7.5% 7.7% 7.5% 9.2% 7.4% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.