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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.00vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+5.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.99+1.85vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.31+0.45vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.66+1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.13+2.18vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.51+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland0.27-0.20vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.39+1.48vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.47-4.40vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.62-0.51vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.79-0.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.07-6.24vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.50-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Hawaii2.4129.0%1st Place
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7.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.8%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.5%1st Place
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5.85University of Hawaii0.998.9%1st Place
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5.45University of Hawaii1.3110.4%1st Place
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7.73Arizona State University0.665.5%1st Place
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9.18University of Victoria0.133.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Hawaii0.514.2%1st Place
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8.8University of Maryland0.273.8%1st Place
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11.48Arizona State University-0.391.5%1st Place
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6.6Hampton University1.477.1%1st Place
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11.49Unknown School-0.621.4%1st Place
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12.01University of Victoria-0.791.4%1st Place
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11.29University of California at San Diego-0.581.8%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Davis0.073.5%1st Place
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13.46Rutgers University-1.501.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 29.0% | 23.1% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Lemke | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Connor Smith | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 11.5% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 17.5% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 11.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Marlon Wool | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.