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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+4.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.08vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47+3.44vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.51+3.86vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.13+4.20vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39+5.44vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.31-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.41-4.98vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-1.19vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.66-2.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.07-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.27-3.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.81vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-0.62-2.62vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-0.79-2.94vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.67-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94University of Hawaii0.999.2%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Los Angeles1.3012.0%1st Place
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6.44Hampton University1.477.2%1st Place
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7.86University of Hawaii0.515.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Victoria0.133.3%1st Place
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11.44Arizona State University-0.391.5%1st Place
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5.21University of Hawaii1.3111.8%1st Place
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3.02University of Hawaii2.4129.1%1st Place
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7.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.5%1st Place
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7.71Arizona State University0.664.5%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Davis0.073.5%1st Place
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8.84University of Maryland0.273.3%1st Place
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11.19University of California at San Diego-0.581.5%1st Place
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11.38Unknown School-0.621.8%1st Place
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12.06University of Victoria-0.791.4%1st Place
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14.11Rutgers University-1.670.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Lemke | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.3% |
| Everett McAvoy | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 29.1% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Connor Smith | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 9.3% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 9.3% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 15.0% |
| Karolina Debniak | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.