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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+3.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+4.58vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+3.48vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+1.39vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.77+3.35vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+3.03vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69+1.50vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+1.12vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.57-3.54vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13-2.84vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.70-2.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.92vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.41-5.48vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.30-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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6.58Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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5.39Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.12Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.46Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.52Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.6% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Booker | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
| Max Nickbarg | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Burd | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% |
| Colin Silverio | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.