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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.56+2.46vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+3.60vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.47+0.68vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.80+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.47+1.23vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.64+3.28vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.34-0.46vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.39+3.80vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.41+0.02vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.60+1.94vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+0.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.40-2.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.68-0.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.33vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.19-1.70vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.05-11.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Hawaii1.5622.7%1st Place
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5.6Hampton University0.728.5%1st Place
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3.68University of Hawaii1.4719.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Victoria0.8011.7%1st Place
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6.23University of Hawaii0.477.2%1st Place
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9.28Unknown School-0.642.3%1st Place
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6.54University of British Columbia0.346.6%1st Place
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11.8Rutgers University-1.391.0%1st Place
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9.02Arizona State University-0.413.3%1st Place
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11.94Arizona State University-1.600.9%1st Place
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11.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.1%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Berkeley-0.402.5%1st Place
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12.26University of California at San Diego-1.680.9%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.4%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Davis-2.190.7%1st Place
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4.84University of Hawaii1.0511.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Summers | 22.7% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.1% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Hutchinson | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Emmanuella Partyka | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.8% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.2% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 14.5% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 20.0% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 29.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.