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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+4.66vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.80+3.09vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+1.89vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.56-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.47-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.47+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.34-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.40+1.17vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.41-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.68+2.28vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.60+1.11vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.59vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.64-3.61vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.39-2.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-2.41vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.19-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Hampton University0.728.6%1st Place
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5.09University of Victoria0.8011.3%1st Place
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4.89University of Hawaii1.0511.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Hawaii1.5620.0%1st Place
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3.6University of Hawaii1.4720.2%1st Place
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6.1University of Hawaii0.477.6%1st Place
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6.35University of British Columbia0.347.4%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Berkeley-0.402.6%1st Place
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8.94Arizona State University-0.413.0%1st Place
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12.28University of California at San Diego-1.680.9%1st Place
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12.11Arizona State University-1.600.9%1st Place
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11.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.1%1st Place
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9.39Unknown School-0.642.9%1st Place
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11.76Rutgers University-1.391.1%1st Place
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12.59University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.7%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Davis-2.190.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 20.0% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 20.2% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emmanuella Partyka | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 16.8% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 11.4% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% |
| Kira Hutchinson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 19.0% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.