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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+4.35vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+6.78vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+3.47vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+0.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21+1.87vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.57-0.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.78vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.69+0.58vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.77-0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.30+2.72vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.83vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-3.66vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-6.69vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.70-6.49vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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4.8Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.58Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.34Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.31Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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9.48Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Michael Booker | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.4% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 10.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Colin Silverio | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 49.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Luke O'Connor | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.