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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+7.75vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+4.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+3.67vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+5.02vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83-0.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.57-0.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64-1.71vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.13-0.99vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.70-0.56vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.77-1.64vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-2.24vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.41-2.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.99vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.69-5.50vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.30-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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9.02Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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4.89Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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5.55Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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5.29Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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9.81Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 5.7% |
| Michael Booker | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| David Liebenberg | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Luke O'Connor | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Steven Drapcho | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.7% |
| Domenic Bove | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Colin Silverio | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.