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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.56+2.43vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+3.66vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.34+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.47-0.35vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.41+3.93vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.47+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.05-2.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.40+1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.80-4.11vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.60+2.24vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.64-1.77vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.45vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.39-1.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.57vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.19-1.64vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Hawaii1.5621.4%1st Place
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5.66Hampton University0.728.0%1st Place
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6.46University of British Columbia0.347.3%1st Place
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3.65University of Hawaii1.4720.0%1st Place
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8.93Arizona State University-0.412.5%1st Place
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6.22University of Hawaii0.476.8%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii1.0512.5%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Berkeley-0.402.4%1st Place
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4.89University of Victoria0.8011.5%1st Place
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12.24Arizona State University-1.600.7%1st Place
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9.23Unknown School-0.642.5%1st Place
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11.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.1%1st Place
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11.89Rutgers University-1.390.9%1st Place
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12.43University of California at San Diego-1.680.9%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Davis-2.190.6%1st Place
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12.02University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Summers | 21.4% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emmanuella Partyka | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 20.0% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Malia Johnson | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Dale Whitmore | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Welker | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 14.1% |
| Kira Hutchinson | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 8.6% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 30.9% |
| John Gallagher | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.