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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+7.78vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+2.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+3.47vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.77+4.23vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.69+3.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+0.74vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64-1.71vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.70+0.55vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13-2.08vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-0.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.14vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-3.02vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.57-8.22vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-6.00vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.30-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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4.62Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.59Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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5.29Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.92Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.61Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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5.78Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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9.0Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.8% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Booker | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Domenic Bove | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 13.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Luke O'Connor | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 7.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% |
| Steven Drapcho | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Colin Silverio | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.