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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.56+2.41vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+4.12vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+1.87vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.47-1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.80-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.40+2.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.68+4.45vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.34-2.63vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.41-1.04vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-0.64-1.64vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.39-0.08vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.60-0.99vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-2.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.19-1.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of Hawaii1.5623.2%1st Place
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6.12University of Hawaii0.477.6%1st Place
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4.87University of Hawaii1.0511.7%1st Place
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5.66Hampton University0.728.6%1st Place
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3.72University of Hawaii1.4719.8%1st Place
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5.11University of Victoria0.8010.7%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Berkeley-0.403.2%1st Place
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12.45University of California at San Diego-1.680.7%1st Place
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6.37University of British Columbia0.346.3%1st Place
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8.96Arizona State University-0.412.7%1st Place
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9.36Unknown School-0.641.8%1st Place
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11.92Rutgers University-1.390.8%1st Place
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12.01Arizona State University-1.600.7%1st Place
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11.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.9%1st Place
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13.29University of California at Davis-2.190.4%1st Place
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11.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Summers | 23.2% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.8% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Grace Richie | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 17.8% |
| Emmanuella Partyka | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Kira Hutchinson | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.8% |
| Erin Welker | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 13.1% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 32.6% |
| John Gallagher | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.