← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.27+5.53vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.57+3.42vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.13+3.98vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.58+4.91vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.83-0.07vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.64-0.66vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.21-0.27vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.54+1.14vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.77-0.75vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.78vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.15vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.69-3.19vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.41-3.23vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.70-5.50vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut1.30-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.53University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
5.42Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
-
6.98Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.91Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
4.93Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
5.34Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
6.73Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.14Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
8.25Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.81Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
-
9.77Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
-
8.5Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
-
12.62University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.9% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.0% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 9.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 5.8% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 11.3% |
| Domenic Bove | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Colin Silverio | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.