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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.80+3.89vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+2.66vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.47+3.00vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.70+0.26vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.39+5.81vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.56-3.73vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.34-1.73vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+2.39vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.41-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+1.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.40-2.93vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.64-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.82vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.60-3.09vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.19-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89University of Victoria0.8012.4%1st Place
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4.66University of Hawaii1.0514.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Hawaii0.478.2%1st Place
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5.49Hampton University0.729.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Hawaii0.7011.2%1st Place
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11.81Rutgers University-1.390.8%1st Place
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3.27University of Hawaii1.5623.8%1st Place
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6.27University of British Columbia0.347.0%1st Place
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11.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.4%1st Place
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8.74Arizona State University-0.412.8%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.0%1st Place
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9.07University of California at Berkeley-0.402.6%1st Place
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9.18Unknown School-0.642.5%1st Place
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12.18University of California at San Diego-1.681.1%1st Place
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11.91Arizona State University-1.601.2%1st Place
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13.25University of California at Davis-2.190.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 14.1% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Knobel | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% |
| Trey Summers | 23.8% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmanuella Partyka | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Kira Hutchinson | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Grace Richie | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 14.9% |
| Erin Welker | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.