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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.77+7.20vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+4.44vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+1.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+1.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.21+1.92vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+3.16vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69+1.54vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41+1.53vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58-0.07vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13-2.84vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.70-2.44vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.57-6.18vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.30-1.20vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.91vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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4.72Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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5.33Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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9.16Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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5.82Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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12.8University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Vogel | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Michael Booker | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.7% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 5.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Trevor Burd | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Luke O'Connor | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Max Nickbarg | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Colin Silverio | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 15.0% | 49.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.