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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+4.36vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.56+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.70+1.12vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.39+6.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+6.41vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.80-2.30vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.41+0.68vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+2.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.40-0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.47-4.97vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.64-3.02vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.01-5.67vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.60-2.15vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.19-1.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.68-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Hampton University0.7210.7%1st Place
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4.58University of Hawaii1.0513.3%1st Place
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3.24University of Hawaii1.5625.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Hawaii0.7010.4%1st Place
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11.71Rutgers University-1.391.2%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.6%1st Place
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4.7University of Victoria0.8013.0%1st Place
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8.68Arizona State University-0.413.3%1st Place
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11.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.6%1st Place
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9.05University of California at Berkeley-0.402.9%1st Place
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6.03University of Hawaii0.477.5%1st Place
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8.98Unknown School-0.642.9%1st Place
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7.33Unknown School-0.014.9%1st Place
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11.85Arizona State University-1.600.7%1st Place
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13.29University of California at Davis-2.190.6%1st Place
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12.26University of California at San Diego-1.681.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 13.3% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 25.1% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Knobel | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| Dale Whitmore | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kira Hutchinson | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Liv Middleton | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erin Welker | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 30.6% |
| Grace Richie | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.