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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.13+3.54vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.56-1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.80-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii-0.48+2.12vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.01-0.22vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.64+0.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.58-0.10vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.41-1.58vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.39+0.51vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-1.26vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.16-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.68-2.84vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.60-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Hampton University0.7210.8%1st Place
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4.28University of Hawaii1.0515.2%1st Place
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6.54University of Hawaii0.135.7%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii1.5627.3%1st Place
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4.49University of Victoria0.8013.6%1st Place
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8.12University of Hawaii-0.484.5%1st Place
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6.78Unknown School-0.017.1%1st Place
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8.92Unknown School-0.643.4%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Berkeley-0.582.7%1st Place
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8.42Arizona State University-0.413.2%1st Place
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11.51Rutgers University-1.391.3%1st Place
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11.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.6%1st Place
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11.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.1%1st Place
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13.14University of California at Davis-2.160.8%1st Place
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12.16University of California at San Diego-1.680.7%1st Place
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11.8Arizona State University-1.601.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Brennan | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 27.3% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 13.6% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Gladstone-Lamas | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Liv Middleton | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kira Hutchinson | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Emerson Marquez | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 11.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| John Gallagher | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 33.0% |
| Grace Richie | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 16.8% |
| Erin Welker | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.