← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.70+7.35vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.21+4.54vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.64+2.28vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.77+4.28vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.69+3.61vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.41+3.52vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.57-1.52vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.83-3.22vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont3.27-2.56vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.58-1.02vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-2.31vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.87vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.13-5.73vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut1.30-2.36vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University2.54-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.35Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.54Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
5.28Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
8.28Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
8.61Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
9.52Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
-
5.48Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
-
4.78Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
-
6.44University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
8.98Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
-
10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
7.27Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
12.64University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
-
9.02Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke O'Connor | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% |
| Max Nickbarg | 13.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.0% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Colin Silverio | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 47.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.