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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.56+0.96vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.72+2.00vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.01+2.94vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.64+3.85vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.80-1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.13-0.50vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.41+0.41vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.39+2.54vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.60+1.90vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.58-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii-0.48-3.73vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-1.80vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.60-2.34vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.68-2.84vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.16-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25University of Hawaii1.0514.8%1st Place
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2.96University of Hawaii1.5628.5%1st Place
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5.0Hampton University0.7212.1%1st Place
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6.94Unknown School-0.014.8%1st Place
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8.85Unknown School-0.642.9%1st Place
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4.29University of Victoria0.8016.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Hawaii0.135.8%1st Place
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8.41Arizona State University-0.413.3%1st Place
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11.54Rutgers University-1.391.3%1st Place
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11.9Arizona State University-1.600.9%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Berkeley-0.583.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Hawaii-0.483.4%1st Place
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11.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.5%1st Place
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11.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.601.1%1st Place
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12.16University of California at San Diego-1.680.4%1st Place
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13.26University of California at Davis-2.160.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
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Vivian Bonsager | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Trey Summers | 28.5% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Stefano Palamara | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Liv Middleton | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Kira Hutchinson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Dale Whitmore | 16.0% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Zach Brennan | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Mitchell Powers | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
Kate Faranetta | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% |
Erin Welker | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.8% |
Emerson Marquez | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
Quinn Gladstone-Lamas | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
Colin Thompson | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.2% |
John Gallagher | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 11.8% |
Grace Richie | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 16.6% |
Claire Desbaillets | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.