← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.21+5.54vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.57+3.27vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.58+5.72vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.27+2.44vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.83-0.21vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.70+2.42vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.54+1.86vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+0.54vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.64-3.90vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.26vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.77-2.80vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.83-0.54vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.69-4.36vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.13-7.14vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut1.30-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.54Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
5.27Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
-
8.72Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
6.44University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
4.79Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
-
8.42Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
-
8.86Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
-
5.1Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.2Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
-
11.46Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.64Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
-
6.86Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
12.42University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.7% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Michael Booker | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Steven Drapcho | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 12.1% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 8.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 22.2% |
| Domenic Bove | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Colin Silverio | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.