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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.47+5.07vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.56+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.47-0.40vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.72+0.49vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.41+2.88vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.01+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.25+3.11vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.80-4.01vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-0.64-0.66vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.58-1.73vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.39-0.10vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-1.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.38vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.60-2.94vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.16-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07University of Hawaii0.477.3%1st Place
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3.34University of Hawaii1.5622.5%1st Place
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4.76University of Hawaii1.0512.4%1st Place
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3.6University of Hawaii1.4720.2%1st Place
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5.49Hampton University0.729.7%1st Place
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8.88Arizona State University-0.412.9%1st Place
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7.57Unknown School-0.014.2%1st Place
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11.11University of California at San Diego-1.251.7%1st Place
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4.99University of Victoria0.8010.6%1st Place
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9.34Unknown School-0.642.2%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Berkeley-0.582.5%1st Place
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11.9Rutgers University-1.390.9%1st Place
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11.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.9%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.8%1st Place
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12.06Arizona State University-1.600.8%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Davis-2.160.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malia Johnson | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 22.5% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 20.2% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Liv Middleton | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Hutchinson | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Emerson Marquez | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 12.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 22.0% |
| Erin Welker | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.0% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.