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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+7.32vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+3.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.57+2.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.77+4.15vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13+2.08vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+0.68vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+1.90vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58+0.88vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.05vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.83-5.19vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.30+1.59vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.03vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.83-1.68vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.70-5.62vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.27-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.13Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.43Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.08Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.9Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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4.81Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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12.59University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.32Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Bove | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colin Silverio | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 15.5% | 44.8% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 8.1% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 22.3% |
| Luke O'Connor | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Michael Booker | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.