← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University2.54+7.78vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.21+4.54vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.83+1.64vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.64+1.32vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.69+3.47vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.57-0.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut1.30+5.45vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont3.27-2.47vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.13-3.09vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.70-2.52vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.25vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.77-4.54vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.58-4.94vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.83-3.84vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-8.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.78Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.54Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
4.64Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
-
5.32Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
8.47Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
5.46Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
-
12.45University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
-
6.53University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.91Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.48Harvard University2.700.1%1st Place
-
9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.46Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
9.06Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
11.16Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colin Silverio | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 41.6% |
| Michael Booker | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Luke O'Connor | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 20.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.