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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.47+4.99vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+2.94vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.56+0.34vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.01+3.47vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-0.64+4.23vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.47-2.33vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.72-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.58+1.31vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.60+3.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+2.74vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.41-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.80-7.01vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.39-1.11vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-2.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.25-3.89vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.16-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of Hawaii0.477.3%1st Place
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4.94University of Hawaii1.0510.8%1st Place
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3.34University of Hawaii1.5623.6%1st Place
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7.47Unknown School-0.014.7%1st Place
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9.23Unknown School-0.642.9%1st Place
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3.67University of Hawaii1.4719.2%1st Place
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5.6Hampton University0.729.7%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Berkeley-0.582.5%1st Place
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12.05Arizona State University-1.600.9%1st Place
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12.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.820.8%1st Place
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8.71Arizona State University-0.413.5%1st Place
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4.99University of Victoria0.8010.5%1st Place
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11.89Rutgers University-1.390.9%1st Place
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11.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.1%1st Place
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11.11University of California at San Diego-1.251.2%1st Place
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13.43University of California at Davis-2.160.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malia Johnson | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 23.6% | 20.4% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liv Middleton | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kira Hutchinson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.2% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Marquez | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 14.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 20.6% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Dale Whitmore | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 6.7% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.