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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+7.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+3.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+2.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+0.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.14vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.77+2.29vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+1.95vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.21-1.25vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.69-0.54vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.70-1.46vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.27-4.38vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.94-4.10vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-3.25vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.21vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.30-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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5.24Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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4.81Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.95Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.46Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.75Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Connecticut1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Luke O'Connor | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Michael Booker | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 10.3% |
| Colin Silverio | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.