Race 1A

2024-rose-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Peter Busch 16.2% 15.0% 14.5% 12.1% 9.2% 8.8% 6.9% 6.5% 4.4% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Diego Escobar 12.2% 11.5% 11.1% 8.8% 10.8% 8.6% 9.2% 5.9% 5.5% 6.2% 4.4% 2.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Daniel Unangst 10.1% 9.8% 10.2% 10.3% 8.3% 9.1% 8.2% 8.2% 6.8% 5.8% 5.5% 3.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Luke Harris 6.6% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 7.6% 7.0% 7.4% 8.5% 8.0% 7.8% 8.0% 7.8% 6.0% 4.1% 1.2% 0.5%
Oliver Stokke 10.2% 9.8% 9.3% 10.3% 10.2% 9.5% 8.5% 7.5% 7.5% 5.5% 4.6% 3.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Noah Robitshek 5.8% 5.9% 6.0% 7.8% 7.6% 8.3% 7.8% 8.3% 7.7% 7.7% 7.4% 7.2% 4.7% 4.9% 2.2% 0.5%
Peter Lobaugh 4.2% 5.2% 5.7% 4.9% 6.4% 5.8% 7.2% 7.8% 9.0% 6.8% 8.9% 8.8% 7.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.4%
Madison Bashaw 5.2% 4.9% 5.1% 5.7% 6.2% 6.8% 6.2% 7.3% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 7.5% 8.5% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4%
Marianna Shand 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 6.6% 7.1% 6.5% 7.3% 7.4% 8.2% 8.7% 6.2% 8.8% 6.8% 5.1% 2.7% 0.9%
Nicholas Mueller 9.0% 8.6% 8.8% 9.1% 8.8% 9.4% 8.3% 8.3% 7.9% 6.2% 5.1% 4.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Emily Avey 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 2.5% 3.0% 3.9% 4.6% 6.2% 9.7% 14.2% 21.1% 21.1%
Anna Groszkowski 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 3.4% 5.1% 5.1% 8.0% 9.7% 13.3% 20.3% 19.4%
Lars Osell 4.5% 4.8% 4.5% 4.8% 4.7% 5.5% 5.8% 6.6% 7.7% 7.8% 9.3% 9.5% 10.2% 7.3% 5.2% 1.8%
Robert Bloomfield 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% 4.8% 4.2% 5.9% 7.3% 8.5% 10.9% 14.2% 15.4% 8.3%
Jake Weinstein 4.7% 4.5% 4.7% 5.3% 5.9% 5.7% 6.9% 6.3% 7.0% 8.3% 10.1% 8.6% 9.0% 7.8% 4.0% 1.3%
Alexander Kaslosas 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 4.3% 6.8% 10.9% 18.4% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.