← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.71+4.68vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.73vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.90+5.77vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.70+5.20vs Predicted
-
5Boston College4.43+1.42vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.98+2.22vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.19+0.32vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College3.78+0.94vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.95-0.78vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College4.06-1.91vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College4.15-3.32vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University4.01-3.60vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.14vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.16-2.85vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.51+1.10vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont3.39-5.35vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.73vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University1.83-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.68Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
9.73U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
8.77Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
-
9.2Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
6.42Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
8.22Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
7.32Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
8.94Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
8.22College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
8.09Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
7.68SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
8.4Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
11.15Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
16.1Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
-
10.65University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
-
13.27University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
-
15.31Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ben Spector | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Williams | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 22.1% | 48.9% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Michael Russom | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 9.5% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 12.4% | 28.5% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.