Race 2A

2024-rose-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Peter Busch 15.7% 15.7% 13.3% 12.0% 10.1% 9.9% 7.0% 5.9% 4.3% 2.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Robitshek 7.0% 6.3% 5.9% 6.5% 6.0% 7.4% 8.6% 8.2% 9.6% 8.5% 7.5% 6.3% 5.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5%
Diego Escobar 12.4% 11.2% 11.7% 10.5% 10.2% 9.0% 7.8% 7.4% 5.6% 5.1% 3.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Peter Lobaugh 4.8% 5.7% 6.6% 6.4% 6.6% 6.6% 5.8% 7.6% 6.4% 8.3% 8.8% 7.9% 8.6% 6.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Oliver Stokke 9.7% 10.8% 9.8% 9.8% 10.3% 8.9% 9.0% 6.6% 6.6% 5.0% 5.5% 3.8% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Daniel Unangst 10.0% 9.8% 9.2% 9.8% 9.2% 7.8% 8.8% 8.2% 6.9% 7.0% 5.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Marianna Shand 6.0% 5.4% 5.4% 6.2% 6.9% 6.5% 7.2% 6.9% 8.5% 9.0% 8.6% 8.3% 6.7% 4.7% 2.9% 0.8%
Lars Osell 4.0% 4.2% 5.0% 5.7% 4.6% 7.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.7% 7.9% 8.4% 9.7% 8.1% 8.5% 5.2% 1.8%
Madison Bashaw 5.7% 4.2% 5.3% 5.8% 5.6% 6.1% 7.0% 8.3% 7.8% 8.4% 8.3% 8.5% 7.0% 7.4% 3.4% 1.3%
Nicholas Mueller 9.3% 9.8% 9.1% 8.9% 8.6% 8.5% 8.7% 7.4% 7.4% 6.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Anna Groszkowski 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 4.4% 5.2% 7.4% 10.3% 14.4% 21.1% 17.9%
Robert Bloomfield 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 3.5% 3.2% 3.4% 5.1% 5.8% 5.5% 5.3% 8.7% 12.8% 14.3% 14.3% 8.9%
Luke Harris 6.0% 6.6% 6.8% 6.6% 6.5% 7.2% 7.6% 7.1% 9.4% 8.6% 7.5% 7.1% 6.6% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Emily Avey 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 1.3% 2.4% 1.9% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.6% 5.5% 7.1% 9.8% 14.1% 21.6% 20.6%
Jake Weinstein 4.7% 4.8% 5.2% 5.5% 6.1% 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 7.5% 7.8% 8.2% 9.4% 8.5% 7.2% 4.9% 1.6%
Alexander Kaslosas 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 1.6% 2.4% 3.9% 3.7% 6.8% 9.4% 18.1% 45.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.