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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.40+18.06vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.83+3.22vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles2.63+7.35vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California3.12+4.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington3.09+3.19vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+8.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine3.43-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.13+4.55vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.64-3.21vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.16-3.49vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego2.19-0.79vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.86-0.43vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-7.38vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.18+0.80vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University1.04-0.19vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles1.34-1.99vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-7.51vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Barbara2.15-9.89vs Predicted
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23University of Washington1.69-8.45vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon2.76-14.51vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis1.68-11.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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19.06California Poly Maritime Academy0.400.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Hawaii3.830.2%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Southern California3.120.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Washington3.090.1%1st Place
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14.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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12.55University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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5.79Stanford University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.66Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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12.21University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Berkeley1.860.0%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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16.8University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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16.81Santa Clara University1.040.0%1st Place
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16.01University of California at Los Angeles1.340.0%1st Place
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13.49University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.150.0%1st Place
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14.55University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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14.33University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Davis | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 41.6% |
| William Peterson | 15.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dahl | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Felipe Lopez | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Peter Stemler | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Dan Sundberg | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 14.6% |
| Amy Stuyvesant | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.3% |
| Mickail Murawski | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Morgane Renoir | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Elliot Drake | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Lee | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.