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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+6.61vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.95+6.54vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.58vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+3.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+3.10vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.90+2.50vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.06+0.84vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College4.15-0.50vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70+0.30vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.43-3.29vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-2.77vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.16-0.21vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-4.20vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.51+1.93vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83+0.45vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.77vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.39vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.39-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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5.58Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.1Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.5Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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7.5SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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6.71Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.79Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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15.93Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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15.45Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ben Spector | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Colin Smith | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Sam Williams | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 21.4% | 45.9% |
| Heidi Hood | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 25.4% | 34.1% |
| Michael Russom | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 9.7% |
| Michael Grove | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.