Race 5A

2024-rose-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Diego Escobar 11.2% 12.3% 11.2% 10.5% 9.2% 8.3% 7.6% 7.1% 7.3% 5.4% 4.1% 2.8% 1.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Peter Busch 16.3% 13.2% 13.2% 12.2% 10.2% 8.8% 7.5% 5.4% 5.5% 2.8% 2.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Bloomfield 2.1% 2.9% 3.1% 2.6% 2.5% 2.7% 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 5.4% 6.9% 9.2% 11.3% 14.4% 15.4% 8.1%
Daniel Unangst 9.6% 10.4% 9.2% 9.9% 9.2% 9.3% 7.6% 7.8% 7.0% 6.3% 5.8% 2.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Madison Bashaw 5.7% 5.9% 5.2% 5.8% 6.3% 5.9% 6.6% 7.1% 7.6% 7.8% 7.5% 8.8% 7.9% 6.2% 4.5% 1.2%
Marianna Shand 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 5.7% 6.3% 7.8% 8.1% 7.1% 6.8% 7.3% 8.0% 8.7% 6.8% 5.2% 3.8% 0.7%
Noah Robitshek 7.2% 6.0% 6.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 8.6% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 7.8% 7.5% 5.5% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
Davis Winsor 8.1% 8.4% 8.4% 8.8% 9.4% 8.1% 8.0% 8.5% 6.8% 7.2% 6.3% 5.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Nicholas Mueller 8.6% 7.8% 8.9% 8.6% 8.8% 8.4% 8.8% 8.3% 8.2% 8.0% 6.2% 4.5% 2.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Peter Lobaugh 5.8% 4.5% 4.2% 5.5% 6.0% 6.1% 7.4% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 8.4% 8.0% 9.2% 6.8% 3.9% 0.8%
Jake Weinstein 3.5% 5.5% 4.8% 4.2% 4.7% 6.6% 6.2% 6.8% 7.1% 9.0% 9.0% 8.9% 9.0% 8.6% 4.4% 1.7%
Oliver Stokke 9.5% 10.0% 10.3% 10.1% 10.0% 9.3% 8.5% 7.8% 7.0% 6.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Lars Osell 3.3% 3.6% 4.7% 4.9% 5.3% 5.9% 5.8% 7.1% 7.5% 7.3% 9.0% 9.6% 10.6% 8.6% 4.9% 1.9%
Anna Groszkowski 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 3.6% 4.1% 4.8% 7.9% 10.0% 14.3% 20.2% 18.7%
Emily Avey 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 2.7% 3.8% 5.5% 7.2% 10.3% 14.4% 20.6% 21.3%
Alexander Kaslosas 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 3.1% 3.5% 3.6% 5.9% 10.8% 18.2% 44.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.