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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+6.53vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.95+6.48vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.39+7.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+4.00vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+3.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.70+3.24vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.43-0.56vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-2.59vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.51+7.07vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.79vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.90-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.33vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-1.75vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.78vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.06-7.22vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.70-6.71vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.83-1.56vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
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8.0Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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6.44Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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5.41Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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16.07Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
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13.33University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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11.25Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.22SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.29Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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15.44Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ben Spector | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Colin Smith | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 21.3% | 47.2% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Vargas | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Michael Russom | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 9.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 11.4% | 27.4% | 33.7% |
| Michael Grove | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.