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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.45vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.39+4.97vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+1.05vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+1.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+3.33vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.94+1.98vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.73vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.11+3.78vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.44vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-4.97vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.67vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.40-5.10vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.62-0.12vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.27-5.81vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.03-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.1710.8%1st Place
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6.97Boston University1.396.8%1st Place
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4.05Boston College2.5819.9%1st Place
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5.44Roger Williams University2.0911.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.225.1%1st Place
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7.98Fordham University1.944.5%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Oregon0.111.9%1st Place
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10.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.5%1st Place
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5.03Georgetown University2.2012.8%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Los Angeles1.305.9%1st Place
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6.9University of Southern California1.407.1%1st Place
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12.88Unknown School-0.620.9%1st Place
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8.19Northwestern University1.274.4%1st Place
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11.5University of Virginia-0.031.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Peter Busch | 19.9% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lars Osell | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Emily Avey | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 22.5% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 8.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Luke Harris | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 19.0% | 44.6% |
| Jake Weinstein | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 21.8% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.