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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+6.00vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+5.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.31+3.05vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+3.79vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+5.04vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+0.92vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.28+3.03vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.62+0.53vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.44+0.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.83-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.31vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-0.69vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.68-0.80vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.67-5.79vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.72-6.85vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.23-5.69vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.97-0.28vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.74-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.79Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.03SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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8.53College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.31Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.2Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.15Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.31Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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16.72Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Peter Miller | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 3.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 18.2% | 6.2% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 72.1% |
| Hunter Mumma | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.