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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+4.74vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+2.65vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.50+2.40vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+2.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.60-0.03vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+4.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-0.46vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-0.91vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.54+1.91vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.70+1.80vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-4.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.43-3.43vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.58-1.48vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-0.82-1.49vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.97-10.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Georgetown University2.2017.5%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.408.8%1st Place
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5.65University of Southern California1.7110.6%1st Place
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6.4Fordham University1.508.2%1st Place
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7.02Boston University1.147.3%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University1.609.3%1st Place
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11.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.6%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.1%1st Place
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8.09St. Mary's College of Maryland0.905.1%1st Place
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11.91Northwestern University-0.541.6%1st Place
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12.8University of Virginia-0.701.6%1st Place
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7.78California Poly Maritime Academy0.975.1%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Los Angeles0.432.6%1st Place
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12.52University of California at Berkeley-0.581.1%1st Place
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13.51University of Oregon-0.820.7%1st Place
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5.01Boston College1.9712.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 17.5% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Max Kleha | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 11.8% |
| James Unger | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 23.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 17.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 36.7% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.