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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+6.61vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.44+7.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.06vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72+4.08vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+0.94vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.74+5.13vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.28+1.91vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.51vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-1.29vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05+0.10vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-4.91vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97+3.58vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.23-4.05vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.83-7.29vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.62-7.29vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-6.75vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.94Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.9Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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9.91SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.71Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.1Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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16.58Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.95Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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8.71College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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10.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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12.22Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Peter Miller | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Mumma | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 6.3% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 3.2% |
| William Haeger | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 70.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 1.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.