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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.28+9.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+4.95vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.59vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+4.30vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.83+2.79vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+4.15vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+3.97vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-1.16vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.44+0.36vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.62-1.07vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.23-0.64vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.15vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-5.00vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.31-8.29vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.80-7.15vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.74-3.78vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.97-0.28vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.2SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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10.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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10.97Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.36Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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8.93College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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10.36Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.0Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.71Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.85Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.22University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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16.72Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.21Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randall Hartranft | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| William Haeger | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Mumma | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 5.8% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 72.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.