Race 4B

2024-rose-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Connor Bennett 8.2% 8.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.5% 8.8% 9.1% 9.0% 8.2% 7.2% 5.7% 4.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 17.2% 14.1% 13.4% 11.2% 11.1% 9.3% 7.8% 5.3% 5.1% 2.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Roman 9.7% 10.3% 10.4% 10.6% 8.9% 9.0% 7.9% 8.0% 6.5% 7.0% 5.3% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Joslin 13.7% 12.3% 12.2% 10.1% 11.1% 9.3% 8.6% 6.9% 4.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Tiare Sierra 6.5% 7.7% 7.1% 8.1% 7.0% 8.1% 9.5% 8.5% 7.8% 9.1% 7.6% 5.9% 4.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Hudson Mayfield 10.2% 12.6% 10.9% 10.4% 9.7% 10.2% 9.4% 7.5% 5.7% 5.5% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Bradley Whiteway 8.3% 5.9% 8.2% 9.4% 7.8% 8.0% 8.1% 9.0% 8.6% 7.7% 7.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Reed McAllister 6.2% 6.3% 6.8% 6.5% 7.9% 8.8% 6.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.8% 7.8% 7.2% 5.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Daren Sathasivam 2.9% 3.5% 3.6% 3.7% 5.5% 4.2% 5.5% 6.5% 7.6% 7.5% 9.8% 11.1% 11.5% 8.6% 6.9% 1.8%
Max Kleha 5.4% 5.8% 6.6% 6.6% 6.1% 6.1% 8.3% 7.8% 9.0% 9.0% 8.9% 7.7% 6.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Samuel Groom 2.1% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 3.0% 3.2% 3.2% 4.1% 4.6% 6.7% 8.3% 10.3% 14.8% 13.8% 12.4% 6.8%
Anna Kovacs 1.9% 2.1% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 3.7% 4.2% 5.0% 6.9% 9.1% 12.7% 15.2% 15.4% 13.2%
Ben Louttit 4.7% 6.0% 5.2% 6.4% 6.6% 7.0% 7.5% 8.2% 9.2% 8.8% 10.5% 8.3% 5.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.3%
Emerson Marquez 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 2.6% 4.0% 3.9% 5.7% 7.6% 10.5% 17.2% 19.0% 20.0%
James Unger 1.0% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 3.6% 3.5% 4.3% 8.0% 10.2% 15.8% 18.9% 21.1%
Sadie Creemer 1.0% 0.4% 0.9% 1.6% 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 1.7% 2.6% 2.6% 3.5% 5.2% 8.3% 12.8% 19.5% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.