Race 1A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Carl Shorett 45.0% 25.6% 16.8% 8.1% 3.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
John Croll 6.7% 11.8% 15.0% 19.5% 16.6% 13.8% 10.3% 5.1% 1.2%
Geoff Williams 4.0% 4.7% 8.1% 10.8% 13.9% 17.9% 18.0% 15.3% 7.3%
Ian Connors 14.7% 19.0% 18.5% 17.1% 15.4% 9.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Keith MacArtney 2.8% 4.3% 7.4% 10.1% 12.1% 13.4% 18.1% 18.5% 13.3%
Nicholas Verrochi 4.3% 6.7% 10.8% 9.7% 14.2% 20.8% 18.8% 10.8% 3.9%
Bryan Schapperle 1.9% 3.0% 2.2% 4.9% 7.2% 10.3% 16.3% 26.3% 27.9%
Stan Benarick 1.4% 1.9% 1.4% 4.6% 3.5% 8.1% 11.2% 22.1% 45.8%
Sara Burke 19.2% 23.0% 19.8% 15.2% 13.6% 5.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.