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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.16vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+6.40vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+4.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+4.85vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.86+9.06vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+8.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+0.42vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.52+2.44vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.53+5.95vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.18+4.96vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+2.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.88+1.50vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.14+1.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.80-1.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.90+7.51vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.87-2.19vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.54-0.58vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.90vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.47-3.08vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.48-4.08vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27-11.83vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-1.24-6.89vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-10.72vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley-1.44-8.06vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.21-4.91vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of California at Santa Cruz1.4528.5%1st Place
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8.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.836.6%1st Place
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7.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.228.3%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.2%1st Place
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14.06San Diego State University-0.861.8%1st Place
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14.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.942.1%1st Place
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7.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.177.6%1st Place
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10.44Arizona State University-0.524.0%1st Place
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14.95Arizona State University-1.531.8%1st Place
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14.96San Diego State University-1.181.7%1st Place
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13.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.882.8%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Irvine-0.882.7%1st Place
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14.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.142.1%1st Place
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12.82University of California at Irvine-0.803.1%1st Place
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22.51University of California at Davis-2.900.2%1st Place
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13.81University of California at San Diego-0.872.5%1st Place
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16.42University of California at San Diego-1.541.4%1st Place
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17.1University of California at San Diego-1.131.0%1st Place
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15.92University of California at San Diego-1.471.6%1st Place
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15.92University of California at Davis-1.481.4%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.275.5%1st Place
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15.11San Diego State University-1.241.8%1st Place
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12.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.863.5%1st Place
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15.94University of California at Berkeley-1.441.4%1st Place
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20.09University of California at San Diego-2.210.6%1st Place
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19.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.980.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 28.5% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Maggie McEachen | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Bennett Alger | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Catalina Brody | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| James Carney | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 42.5% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Nate Powers | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| James Makler | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Emilia McNabb | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Noa Brassfield | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 18.2% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.